City Population of Nearly 400K and City of Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area Half-Million by 2035

The City’s Planning and Development Division has released the City of Saskatoon and Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area Population Projection 2015 to 2035 report.  The population in Saskatoon is projected to reach 380,650, and the Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area is projected to reach 448,985 by 2035.

Saskatoon’s growth will result in the need to build the equivalent of six new neighbourhoods and 24,000 dwelling units by 2025.  Saskatoon’s current development capacity in existing, developing, and planned new neighbourhoods will be able to accommodate this projected growth.

“It is an exciting time for Saskatoon,” says Lesley Anderson, Director of Planning and Development.  “Some of our recently adopted long-range plans, such as the Growth Plan to Half a Million, will be integral in setting our City up for the future.”

“Change is inevitable, but this change will be managed.  Saskatoon will be able to accommodate this growth and remain a city where citizens continue to enjoy a high quality of life.”

Based on the annual growth rate of 2.0%, the 20-year projected population growth indicates Saskatoon will see a large increase in the number of people over age 65 and an even larger increase of those over the age of 80.  This spike is due to the aging baby boom generation.  The seniors’ population will increase from its current 12.8% to make up 14.1% of the total population by 2035.

Other highlights in the report are as follows:

• Net migration is forecast to account for 69.0% to 74.0% (62,000 to 122,000 persons) of the population increase projected over the next 20 years.
• New neighbourhoods are typically designed to house 10,000 people.  The Medium Growth Scenario will require the equivalent of an additional six neighbourhoods and 26,000 dwelling units by 2035, assuming an average household size of 2.4 people.
• An increase of 28.8% of children will be coming into, or already be in, the primary and secondary school systems by 2025 and 58.8% children by 2035.
• The estimated median age is projected to increase from 35.8 in 2015, to 37.4 in 2035.
• The dependency ratio is 65 to 67, which is an increase from 58 in 2015.Population projections are also useful to community agencies planning for future service provision.  The Planning and Development Division completed similar projections in 1996, 2002, 2008, 2010, and 2012.

The Planning and Development Division regularly calculates population estimates for the City using information from Statistics Canada and factoring in recent trends in growth.  These projections assist City Council and the Administration in developing policy framework, long-range plans, and forecasting future municipal servicing needs and land consumption.

Population projections are also useful to community agencies planning for future service provision.  The Planning and Development Division completed similar projections in 1996, 2002, 2008, 2010, and 2012.

For more information, or to view the full report, please visit www.saskatoon.ca/sustainable-growth.